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khaerukhaeru
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Merge pull request #345 from iiasa/ssp-dev-aluminum-pr
Improve aluminum model
2 parents a7c26bd + c4ce855 commit 7a999bc

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‎doc/material/v1.2.0.rst

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Version 1.2.0 (Month X, 2025)
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-------------------------------
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Preview of the Upcoming MESSAGEix-Materials Release
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This upcoming release of MESSAGEix-Materials introduces significant enhancements to the current model.
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It features improved calibration and updated parameterization, drawing on the latest statistics and findings from recent literature.
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Most of these updates reflect developments made during the ScenarioMIP project.
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Model changes
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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**Iron & steel sector**
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*To be merged from ssp-dev*
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**Non metallic minerals sector**
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*To be merged from ssp-dev*
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**Non ferrous metals sector**
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- Trade representation for alumina has been implemented
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- The aluminum has been fixed in 2025 independent of SSP setting
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- The 2020 aluminum demand was slightly revised in some regions
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- The energy intensity of alumina refining was revised and differentiated by region based on IAI data
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- The fuel use for alumina refining in 2020 was calibrated based on IAI data
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- The energy intensity of aluminum smelting was revised and differentiated by region based on IAI data
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- The historical smelting capacity was calibrated based on an accurate global capacity data set
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- The historical smelting and refining activity in 2020 was calibrated based on BGS statistics
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- The maximum recyclable aluminum scrap ratio is now differentiated by SSP
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- The heat requirement and cost for aluminum scrap preparation is now differentiated by SSP
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**Power sector**
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**Demand generator**
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*To be merged from ssp-dev*
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**Other**
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*To be merged from ssp-dev*
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CLI changes
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~~~~~~~~~~~
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Deprecations
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~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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New features
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~~~~~~~~~~~~
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**Bug Fixes**
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**Compatibility**

‎doc/whatsnew.rst

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- Expand covered emission species (:pull:`333`, :issue:`307`)
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with values derived from `CEDS <https://www.pnnl.gov/projects/ceds>`_.
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Materials
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---------
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- Improve and extend :doc:`/material/index` (:pull:`245`).
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Transport
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---------
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‎message_ix_models/data/material/aluminum/alu_ref_int_1985_2023.csv

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Period;Africa & Asia (ex China);North America;South America;Europe;Oceania;China;World
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2023;12154;9777;8333;15044;10796;9173;10009
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2022;12750;9031;7992;15228;11041;10496;10878
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2021;12718;9366;8108;13132;1104;10849;10986
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2020;12156;10363;8277;13707;10455;10878;10915
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2019;12852;8938;8951;13462;10528;11437;11351
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2018;12324;9888;933;13076;10713;11525;11359
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2017;13099;9879;8591;12807;106;12054;11564
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2016;15037;11591;864;12908;10746;11954;11388
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2015;14786;12158;8974;12979;1045;12524;11933
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2014;15011;11953;8624;13086;10673;13936;12579
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2013;16642;11451;8847;13791;10508;15523;1326
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2012;15683;11617;8882;13255;10128;1714;13675
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2011;15491;11262;9043;14274;11411;1664;13759
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2010;16212;12018;9814;14627;10721;18581;14346
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2009;16955;11819;9554;17137;11203;19385;14647
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2008;16787;10871;10504;1584;11295;23356;15554
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2007;18057;10961;10741;14628;1123;25522;15934
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2006;19093;12076;11065;17005;11457;23598;15201
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2005;12788;11385;11190;12510;11444;29348;14133
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2004;12581;10352;10043;12403;11864;30088;13756
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2003;14536;10927;11112;12312;11745;32612;14193
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2002;12938;11957;11436;1349;11375;33948;14554
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2001;15421;11082;11807;12934;11087;34691;14366
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2000;16687;11654;11903;12627;1137;35644;14479
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1999;17106;11273;11709;12883;11964;38278;14774
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1998;17468;11025;12144;13031;12126;40632;14919
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1997;16356;11356;12052;12191;12269;-;12339
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1996;16455;12668;1258;11987;12213;-;12637
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1995;15065;12528;12794;12094;12301;-;12621
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1994;15169;12327;12644;11723;115;-;12194
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1993;15698;12872;12613;12264;11398;-;12353
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1992;15004;1302;12372;12453;12447;-;12705
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1991;15379;13286;12278;12084;12435;-;12696
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1990;15488;13289;11985;12001;12706;-;12737
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1989;14456;13653;11462;11893;12339;-;12476
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1988;15463;13365;9981;1223;12402;-;12234
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1987;18016;12728;9965;12269;12592;-;12229
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1986;15536;11512;10286;12126;13031;-;12156
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1985;16239;12048;12452;12267;13417;-;12977

‎message_ix_models/data/material/aluminum/aluminum_techno_economic.xlsx

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This file was deleted.

‎message_ix_models/data/material/aluminum/archived/aluminum_techno_economic.xlsx

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oid sha256:087e3fad92e1c9fcf292ea606e3d2ccf510e773bad478a9a650a2e48661267ca
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size 121353

‎message_ix_models/data/material/aluminum/data_R12.csv

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Large diffs are not rendered by default.

‎message_ix_models/data/material/aluminum/demand_2025.csv

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node,commodity,level,year,time,value,unit
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R12_AFR,aluminum,demand,2025,year,3.390494404119991,t
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R12_EEU,aluminum,demand,2025,year,5.7040045876326255,t
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R12_FSU,aluminum,demand,2025,year,5.417485073347417,t
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R12_LAM,aluminum,demand,2025,year,3.92917152614197,t
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R12_MEA,aluminum,demand,2025,year,3.46029608341049,t
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R12_NAM,aluminum,demand,2025,year,15.161147392128369,t
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R12_PAO,aluminum,demand,2025,year,3.903741922598367,t
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R12_PAS,aluminum,demand,2025,year,6.760166458897411,t
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R12_SAS,aluminum,demand,2025,year,6.400692003394531,t
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R12_WEU,aluminum,demand,2025,year,7.678680255487364,t
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R12_CHN,aluminum,demand,2025,year,34.61849606267114,t
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R12_RCPA,aluminum,demand,2025,year,2.209764908059664,t

‎message_ix_models/data/material/aluminum/demand_aluminum.xlsx

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size 155698
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oid sha256:44d7cf50a6293bc2de97ce165727d2af38d894067ae8e33260730eb130609ebe
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size 346206

‎message_ix_models/data/material/aluminum/demand_aluminum.yaml

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- R12_AFR:
22
year: 2020
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value: 3.00000
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value: 2.75
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- R12_RCPA:
55
year: 2020
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value: 2.00000
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value: 2.0
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- R12_EEU:
88
year: 2020
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value: 6.00000
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value: 5.3
1010
- R12_FSU:
1111
year: 2020
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value: 5.00000
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value: 4.85
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- R12_LAM:
1414
year: 2020
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value: 2.50000
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value: 2.6
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- R12_MEA:
1717
year: 2020
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value: 2.00000
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value: 2.2
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- R12_NAM:
2020
year: 2020
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value: 13.60000
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value: 14
2222
- R12_PAO:
2323
year: 2020
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value: 3.00000
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value: 3.6
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- R12_PAS:
2626
year: 2020
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value: 4.80000
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value: 4.8
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- R12_SAS:
2929
year: 2020
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value: 4.80000
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value: 4.80
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- R12_WEU:
3232
year: 2020
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value: 6.00000
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value: 6.00
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- R12_CHN:
3535
year: 2020
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value: 26.00000
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value: 27.3

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